Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)The US government budget in November was-367 billion US dollars, with an expected-353 billion US dollars and a previous value of-257.5 billion US dollars.Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: We will turn to an environment where antitrust agencies will not have instinctive aversion to large technology companies. We see that many private equity activities are increasing.
Fitch: Steady reserves, reduced liabilities, and prudent budget management have prepared American state and local governments for 2025.Analyst: The Trump FTC has selected good news for large technology companies. The FTC is about to undergo leadership changes. Wedbush analysts believe that this is a major positive for large technology companies led by Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft. Shares of Amazon and major technology companies rose on Wednesday after President-elect Trump said he would appoint Andrew Ferguson to lead the FTC, replacing Lina Khan, the current FTC chairman. Khan is the main critic of large technology companies. She filed a lawsuit against Meta and Amazon, and also challenged Microsoft to acquire Activision Blizzard for $69 billion, but it was unsuccessful. Ferguson is a Republican and has served as a member of the Federal Trade Commission. "Christmas in science and technology has come early," Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said in a customer report, adding that "at the critical moment of the artificial intelligence arms race, the' sweat suspense' in science and technology has been eliminated. We expect the strong to be stronger, because Mag 7 has started the M&A engine again, and Microsoft, Oracle Bone Inscriptions, Alphabet, Amazon and Tesla will accelerate the transaction to expand their technology moat. "Egypt condemned Israel for launching military operations in Syria. On the 11th local time, the Egyptian Foreign Ministry issued a statement condemning Israel's organized attacks on infrastructure in Syria, its deliberate bombing and destruction of bases, weapons, equipment and military systems in various parts of Syria, and its illegal bases established in Syria. Egypt reiterated its firm opposition to Israel's use of Syria's internal affairs and its current vacuum to undermine Syria's national capacity and occupy Syrian land. Egypt believes that Israel's attacks on Syria systematically violate international law. Egypt warned that Israel's irresponsible policies may cause terrible risks. Egypt calls on the UN Security Council and the international community to shoulder their responsibilities, stop Israel's dangerous escalation in Syria and urge it to respect Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Euronext: Due to an accident in the waterway, the delivery point along the Mosel River of the February 2025 rapeseed futures (COMG5) contract will be unavailable until further notice.Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: We will turn to an environment where antitrust agencies will not have instinctive aversion to large technology companies. We see that many private equity activities are increasing.Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13